WinAI & Vertical SaaS (Circa 2023)
Most people are saying that AI will be an extinction-level event for software companies. This is only sort-of true. Companies can survive this trend, but it will require a challenging evolution.

Special thanks to Mike Murchison, CEO of Ada, and Karen Peacock, former CEO of Intercom, for their contributions to this piece!
Most people are saying that AI will be an extinction-level event for software companies. This is only sort-of true. Companies can survive this trend, but it will require a challenging evolution. Many will not make it, while some will emerge more powerful and more profitable than ever. Today we will propose our thesis on what effect AI will have. This is informed by countless company discussions, and two separate meetups we hosted with 25+ late-stage software companies we respect. Some of this is almost certainly wrong, but putting this into the public eye is meant to be a cringe test. We are looking to create the pressure and clear thinking that public writing forces.
We structure our thesis around three types of companies:
At Tidemark, we try to open-source our thinking as much as possible to help founders win; however, as investors, we can’t give everything away in public. If you’re an operator or founder, you can request access to the rest of this piece below.
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